When I
first saw this company name KEY ASIC BHD in the local finance newspaper this
morning, it seems so strange to me. It is listed in Bursa since Dec 2011, about
7 years ago. The news boosted about it’s bright future with unique product
under Internet of Thing (IOT) industry. That further boosted m curiosity. What
does this company does actually? IOT is a very big market from now till the
future.
After did
some researches, I found out indeed this is a technology company that
developing it’s own IOT related products while doing ODM for it’s customers. It
specializes design and manufacturing of IOT chips and system, connecting any
electronics and non-electronic items to the Internet. Kcard, Kdrive, Mcard and
Mdrive are the IOT products currently shipping in the market. It also offers
turnkey ASIC design service and SoC design and manufacturing.
If you
familiar with Bursa’s technology or semi-conductor listed companies, most of them
are OEM and ODM. Those who do OBM are only a few, don’t talk about developing own
products. Why is that? For those who doing OEM and ODM, they just need to
follow the vendors requirement will do. Hence, the output will be guaranteed
purchased by the vendors. The R&D expenses are also comparatively lower
comparing to OBM and vendor. A good example will be INARI, GTRONICS, SKPRES, VS,
etc. So why OBM or develop own products then?
Let’s look
at Apple, Dyson, Nike and Samsung, are they making a lot more money than the
OEM/ODM who assist them to make the products? Anyway, there’s no the point
today we want to talk about. China ex-president used to say, whoever can catch
the mice is a good cat.
If you are
in the business, developing own product indeed the ultimate way to go. Let’s
look at IQGROUP and SALUTE for example, they rather sacrifice their margin and
share price but to focus on developing their own products. For KEYASIC, it is
mainly focus on developing it’s products since listed and that is why, it is
making losses over the past 7 years since listed. It’s bottom line only started
to turn black over the last 3 quarters.
Basically I
would say KEYASIC product is unique. Their trump card is it has built-in WIFI
in the flash card and USB drive, allow the data flow freely from and to the
memory. In fact, it’s just launch it’s enhanced product – block chain device
named RYC in China last 2 weeks ago, which allow patients to store their own
health data under the USB drive and able to retrieve by doctors whichever
hospital they go easily. You can read the release from this URL: https://www.facebook.com/notes/key-asic-malaysia/keyasic-launched-ryc-ai-medicine-in-a-block-chain-drive/1876928789033786/
The near
future prospect for KEYASIC is definitely bright, if the MOH of China decided
to acquire these USB drives from KEYASIC for contract basis. The margin is also
superb where the previous 2 quarters have about 54-57% gross margin, since it
is own developed products.
From the
management prospect, it stated:
The Company has recorded two consecutive
quarters of profits largely attributed by design fee (NRE), IP licensing and
chips sales. The revenue associated with
Internet of Things (IOT) has increased and it is expected to continue to do so
in the coming quarters. There are a number of new engagement of designs
with large companies from US and Japan using Mcard for Internet of Things (IOT)
solutions. The Company has also invested additional business development
resource in China market in the past few months and there are several new
projects currently under development.
About the
management trustworthy, I’m not sure at all. They are half Taiwanese and
Malaysian board members. No doubt that the Taiwanese is strong in hardware technology
development, where American is too strong in software development. But one
thing for sure, the management seems not that keen on doing investor relations
because I noticed some typo mistakes and errors in the quarterly and annual
reports.
The management
owns about 36.6% shares, where Khazanah National owns about 22.1%. Both of them
took up in total of 59%. This makes me reminds of BIOHLDG where they have about
the same arrangement. I guess Khazanah is betting about the better prospect of
the company and hence bang on it for huge potential return once the business
model is succeeded.
One thing
for sure is KEYASIC is running out of money, where their cash balance is left
with RM580k while operations and R&D still needs to be ongoing. Hence, they
have proposed private placement to raise about RM45m for working capital, which
will be 25% diluted upon exercise.
KEYASIC
share price stood at 18.5 cents as of 13 July 2018, valued at RM180m. If you
take the latest quarter EPS as full year forecast, it’s PER around 4. The PER
is considering very low since it’s a technology company, provided the company
managed to sell it’s products and sustain from there.
Anyhow, they have made
loss over the last 8 years and make a lot investors shy away from investing this
company. The recent few quarters black turning also does not spur much interest
from the investors. It can be due to the current poor market sentiment.
Whether
this company can be invested, the key is lies on your insight whether you can
trust the management and the so called IOT products can sell? How easily it can
be replicated since it’s just a USB drive with WIFI?
Let’s see.
Note: This post is not recommendation of buy or sell of a company shares, but only personal opinion.
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